Identification

Author

Haber MJ, Shay DK, Davis XM, Patel R, Jin X, et al.

Title

Effectiveness of interventions to reduce contact rates during a simulated Influenza Pandemic

Year

2007

Publication type

Article

Journal

Emerging Infectious Diseases

Created

2013-10-29 21:35:39+00:00

Modified

2016-07-29 20:15:00.208651+00:00

Details

Volume

13

Number

4

Access

Language

English

URL http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2725959/
DOI

10.3201/eid1304.060828

Accessed

2016-06-27

Extended information

Abstract

Measures to decrease contact between persons during an influenza pandemic have been included in pandemic response plans. We used stochastic simulation models to explore the effects of school closings, voluntary confinements of ill persons and their household contacts, and reductions in contacts among long-term care facility (LTCF) residents on pandemic-related illness and deaths. Our findings suggest that school closings would not have a substantial effect on pandemic-related outcomes in the absence of measures to reduce out-of-school contacts. However, if persons with influenzalike symptoms and their household contacts were encouraged to stay home, then rates of illness and death might be reduced by ≈50%. By preventing ill LTCF residents from making contact with other residents, illness and deaths in this vulnerable population might be reduced by ≈60%. Restricting the activities of infected persons early in a pandemic could decrease negative health impact.