Identification

Author

Hoshen MB, Morse AP

Title

A weather-driven model of malaria transmission

Year

2004

Publication type

Article

Journal

Malaria Journal

Created

2013-08-12 22:40:23+00:00

Modified

2016-06-13 19:58:29.794043+00:00

Details

Volume

3

Access

Language

English

URL http://www.malariajournal.com/content/pdf/1475-2875-3-32.pdf
DOI

10.1186/1475-2875-3-32

Accessed

2016-06-13

Extended information

Abstract

Background

Climate is a major driving force behind malaria transmission and climate data are often used to account for the spatial, seasonal and interannual variation in malaria transmission.
Methods

This paper describes a mathematical-biological model of the parasite dynamics, comprising both the weather-dependent within-vector stages and the weather-independent within-host stages.
Results

Numerical evaluations of the model in both time and space show that it qualitatively reconstructs the prevalence of infection.
Conclusion

A process-based modelling structure has been developed that may be suitable for the simulation of malaria forecasts based on seasonal weather forecasts.