Identification

Name

EpiMAN-FMD

Contact people
(1) Robert Sanson, Veterinary Epidemiologist, SansonR@asurequality.com
Created

2013-06-21 19:55:21+00:00

Modified

2016-04-06 14:07:53.763914+00:00

Overview

Types
(1) Disease Dynamics
Overview

A comprehensive epidemiological information system (EpiMAN) has been developed to assist national disease control authorities contain and eradicate outbreaks of animal diseases as efficiently and cost-effectively as possible. The system was initially developed to control an incursion of foot and mouth disease (FMD) or any clinically indistinguishable vesicular disease, although it has since been progressively expanded to manage other exotic and endemic diseases. Design objectives for the information management elements of EpiMAN included the following: the need to manage the vast quantities of data that eradication procedures for an epidemic would generate within a very short time the ability to innovatively apply epidemiological understanding of disease spread to the data processing tasks the reduction of some of the foreseen processing bottlenecks the provision of decision support tools for data entry personnel. Design objectives for the veterinary management elements of the system included the following: the presentation of up-to-date status reports in formats that facilitate decision-making at the national or regional level the ability to optimize manpower resource allocation the capacity to evaluate the relative merits of alternative technical decisions, each of which carry different implicit risks. The system combines a multi-user database management system, expert system elements, various computer simulation models of specific aspects of epidemiology and a range of statistical analyses designed to monitor the state of the epidemic.

Question

What is the spread of FMD during an outbreak and what are the economic costs?

Purpose

Forecasting

Scope

Platform

Goals
(1) Consequence management
Decision support

Unknown

Based on
Simulation type
(1) Compartmental
Simulation update
(1) Stochastic
Methods
(1) Compartments/SI
(2) Statistics/Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
Products
(1) Disease incidence
(2) Economic assessment
Documents
(1) Document Sanson RL, Morris RS, Stern MW: EpiMAN-FMD: A decision support system for managing epidemics of … (1999)
Notes
(2) Document Sanson, RL: The development of a decision support system for an animal disease emergency (1993)
Notes
(3) Document Stark KD, Morris RS, Benard HJ, Stern MW: EpiMAN-SF: A decision-support system for managing swin… (1998)
Notes
(4) Document McKenzie JS, Morris RS, Tutty CJ, Pfeiffer DU: EpiMAN-TB, a decision support system using spatia… (1997)
Notes
(5) Document Jalvingh AW, Nielen M, Dijkhuizen AA, Morris RS: Economic simulation of the spread and control a… (1997)
Notes

Application

Diseases
(1) Bovine tuberculosis
(2) Classical swine fever
(3) Foot-and-mouth disease
Locations
(1) Location European Union
Status current
(2) Location New Zealand
Status

Utility and readiness

Maintenance status

Legacy

Readiness

Configurable Generic Framework

Organizations
(1) Organization Massey University
Role
Independently tested

No

Verification & validation notes

The model has the validated with ground truthed data. Mathematically verified.

Sensitivity analysis

Yes

Availability

Computational platform

Unknown

Developer contacted

No

Availability notes

Other users would need to configure EpiMAN to specific disease and location.

Input