Identification

Name

Boender Model

Contact people
(1) Gert Jan Boender, gertjan.boender@wur.nl
Created

2013-10-21 22:20:29+00:00

Modified

2016-04-06 14:04:46.941826+00:00

Overview

Types
(1) Risk Mapping
Overview

This mathematical model simulates the spread of Foot-and-Mouth disease virus in the Netherlands to develop risk maps as well as to assess the effect of ring culling strategies. The risk map identifies regions of low risk where control strategies will achieve control more quickly than in regions of high risk. The model was parameterized using data from the Dutch 2001 outbreak.

Question

The model seeks to generate a risk map of Foot-and-Mouth disease virus in the Netherlands by determining the spread of the virus and using this information to identify regions of high and low risk. They use these risks maps to assess the effect of ring culling strategies.

Purpose

Prediction

Goals
(1) Early detection
(2) Early warning
Based on
Methods
(1) Statistics/Akaike information criterion (AIC)
(2) Statistics
Products
(1) Contact network
(2) Control effort effectiveness
(3) Control strategy
(4) Disease incidence
(5) Risk factor analysis
(6) Science of transmission
(7) Spatial risk map
(8) Spatio-temporal risk map
Documents
(1) Document Boender GJ, Meester R, Gies E, De Jong MCM: The local threshold for geographical spread of infec… (2007)
Notes
(2) Document Boender GJ, van Roermund HJ, de Jong MC, Hangenaars TJ: Transmission risks and control of foot-a… (2010)
Notes
General notes

They modeling approach developed in the papers can be applied to other diseases and/or locations.

Application

Diseases
(1) Foot-and-mouth disease
Locations
(1) Location Netherlands
Status

Utility and readiness

Readiness

Study

Availability

Availability notes

Model need to be recreated from research papers for specific use.

Input

Input datasets
(1) Name
Category
Subject Control Efforts
URL
Notes
(2) Name Distance Amongst Farms, Farm density
Category
Subject Environment: Facilities
URL
Notes
(3) Name Transmission kernel for the spatial transmission model, the incubation period for the disease
Category
Subject Disease: Epidemiological
URL
Notes